Two towns named Nogales share a desert and a culture and differ in institutions

Hook

There are two towns called Nogales, one in Arizona and one in Sonora. Same desert, same culture, very different living standards.

Claim

Countries diverge mainly through the institutions they build, but nobody agrees how to measure that. Prosperity depends on whether economic and political institutions are inclusive: protecting property broadly, allowing participation and rewarding innovation. In Petar’s words: institutions are inclusive when true information can reach the people who act on it.

Story

Why Nations Fail (Acemoglu and Robinson, 2012) uses the two Nogales cities as its clean example. The authors shared the 2024 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences with Simon Johnson. They add that elections do not make institutions inclusive if they are rigged. No named person yet; the residents of the two towns would be the story.

Sources

Check before posting

  • Always post the objections together with the idea: Subramanian (reverse causality, China and India), Fukuyama (binary too simple), Diamond (geography matters more), Sachs (ignores technology and geopolitics), Bass (vague for policy), Easterly (anecdotal).
  • Needs a person-level story from either Nogales.

Counterargument

A strong story with contested proof. Critics say it does not explain China and India and may have the causation backwards.

Post angles

Facebook (Croatian)

  • Nogales: dva grada, ista pustinja, ista kultura, različit životni standard. Granica dijeli institucije. Ali kritičari kažu da teorija ne objašnjava Kinu i Indiju. Vrijedi znati obje strane.
  • Moja radna misao: institucije su odgovor, ali samo ako pokazuju gdje se informacija gubi.

LinkedIn (English)

  • Nogales, Arizona and Nogales, Sonora: same desert, different institutions, different outcomes. That is the clean example. The clean objections are China, India and reverse causality. Both belong in the post.
  • Inclusive institutions, in my words: ones where true information can reach the people who act on it.